China’s success in mining gas hydrate in the South China Sea is a breakthrough that could revolutionize the global energy industry, and prove more significant than the United States’ shale gas, experts said.
The gas hydrate, commonly known as combustible ice, is perhaps another 15 years away from commercial use, but its successful mining in China is a breakthrough nevertheless, said Lu Hailong, a professor at the Institute of Ocean Research, which is part of Peking University.
Lu was the chief scientist for the first mining trial for gas hydrate.
According to Li Jinfa, deputy director of the China Geological Survey, the South China Sea has an estimated 80 billion metric tons of oil equivalent of gas hydrate reserves.
In all, there are 100 billion metric tons in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, and in the South China and East China seas.
Combustible ice is formed under low temperature and high pressure in permafrost under the sea. One cubic meter of the hydrate can release about 160 cubic meters of gas, which would emit only half the amount of carbon dioxide produced by oil or coal.
No country has been able to produce it commercially due to tough conditions and pollution concerns.
“With ample experience accumulated, China has become the frontrunner in gas hydrate mining technology,” Lu said.
China completed its first test exploration in the South China Sea on July 9, which lasted 60 days. Total output exceeding 300,000 cu m and daily output surpassed 5,000 cu m.
According to Lu, a longer, more productive trial is possible by 2020 in the South China Sea.
Beginning May 10, a trial was carried out in waters 320 kilometers southeast of the Pearl River estuary. It achieved better-than-expected results, according to the China Geological Survey Bureau, which is under the Ministry of Land and Resources.
The exploration collected 6.47 million sets of experimental data and set world records in both the duration of experiment and total amount of gas extracted, said the bureau.
Jin Qinghuan, an academician with the Chinese Academy of Engineering, said China will complete the initial preparatory work for commercial production by 2020 and begin commercial production by 2030.
Successful trials have given China an edge in mining in silt sand seabed, making it a forerunner in mining for clean energy, he said.
Japan made headway in 2013, but large amount of sand that entered the production wells halted its progress.
The US has been researching the clean fuel for years, but made no significant progress due to technological barriers.
Lu said solid R&D and breakthroughs are needed to increase output from the next trial, to make combustible ice lucrative. Safety issues, production sustainability, environmental impact and political concerns are key factors.
China is eager to replace conventional energy, including coal, quickly with clean energy sources, to optimize the energy structure and relieve problems caused by energy shortages.
According to Han Xiaoping, chief information officer of China Energy Net Consulting, combustible ice has great potential and could well be China’s next big opportunity in energy.
“The total volume of organic carbon in the world’s combustible ice is twice that of all other known energy sources combined, including coal, oil, and natural gas,” he said.
“As the mining site is near Guangdong province, a region with robust economic development, there will be plenty of demand for the natural gas extracted from the wells and the cost of liquefaction and transporting will also be relatively low due to the short distance.”
According to Lu, the frequent and fierce typhoons in the South China Sea are the biggest obstacle to the first test drilling operation.
The team was lucky to overcome the difficulty, thanks to the 118-meter-tall Blue Whale 1 oil exploration platform built by China Yantai CIMC Raffles Offshore Ltd, he said.
According to Han, China leads the world in marine oil and gas drilling technology, and bigger drilling platforms will be built to integrate oil and gas exploration so as to lower the production cost of combustible ice.
China started research on the energy source in the late 1990s. Its first gas hydrate samples were collected in the South China Sea in 2007.